Madison Keys vs Jelena Ostapenko Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
M. Keys vs J. Ostapenko

Madison Keys

USA

4

Win

Played

2

Win

Age

1.78m

Height

1.77m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$20.8M

Career Money

$11.7M

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Jelena Ostapenko

LAT

4

Win

Played

2

Win

Age

1.78m

Height

1.77m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$20.8M

Career Money

$11.7M

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Head-To-Head: Keys 4 - 2 Ostapenko

They have played 13 sets in total, with Madison Keys winning 8 and Jelena Ostapenko winning 5. The last match between Madison Keys and Jelena Ostapenko was at the Adelaide International - Adelaide, 08-01-2025, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Madison Keys getting the victory 3-6 6-4 6-3.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Keys	4
Ostapenko	2

Last H2H Matches:

(R2) Adelaide International - Adelaide(01-08-25)

Stats

Madison Keys

Jelena Ostapenko

(R1) Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha(02-14-23)

Stats

Jelena Ostapenko

Madison Keys

(R2) Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati(08-17-22)

Stats

Madison Keys

Jelena Ostapenko

M. Keys vs J. Ostapenko H2H Profile

M. Keys	Stats	J. Ostapenko
$20,819,148	Career Prize Money	$11,743,067
64.47% (421-232)	Career Total W/L	61.41% (409-257)
1	Clay	0
1	Grass	1
2	Hard	1
14	Titles	16
4	Total H2H Matches	2
74.00% (37-13)	YTD Win/Loss	50.00% (18-18)
2	YTD Titles	1

M. Keys vs J. Ostapenko Match Preview

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Madison Keys has won 42.39% of points on their second serve, while Jelena Ostapenko has won 38.76%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Madison Keys, in recent form, has won 48.99% of their opponent's second serve points, while Jelena Ostapenko has won 51.58%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.21% and 32.32% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Madison Keys has saved 56.38% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Jelena Ostapenko has saved 43.90% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Madison Keys has won 72.22% of matches played (W/L 39/ 15), with Jelena Ostapenko winning 50.00% (W/L 39/ 18) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Madison Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 71% (W/L 54/ 22), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/ 15). Jelena Ostapenko has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 68% (W/L 54/ 26), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 54% (W/L 145/ 123).
Player level: In the last year, Madison Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 16/ 8), where as Jelena Ostapenko has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 46.67% of matches (W/L 7/ 8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Madison Keys winning 4 times and Jelena Ostapenko being victorious 1 times. They have played 13 sets in total, with Madison Keys winning 8 and Jelena Ostapenko winning 5. The last match between Madison Keys and Jelena Ostapenko was at the Adelaide International - Adelaide, 08-01-2025, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Madison Keys getting the victory 3-6 6-4 6-3.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:31:8.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Madison Keys has played against opponents with an average rank of 47.96 while Jelena Ostapenko has played against players with an average rank of 58.78.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Madison Keys has won 75% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Jelena Ostapenko has won 64% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Madison Keys has converted 35.71% of breakpoint opportunities, and Jelena Ostapenko has converted 47.83% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Madison Keys vs Jelena Ostapenko Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

M. Keys vs J. Ostapenko H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

M. Keys	Stats	J. Ostapenko
4	H2H Matches Won	1
8	Sets Won	5
69	Games Won	61
28	Aces (Total)	17
12	Total Double Faults	34
1:31:8	Avg. Match Time	1:31:8
64% (282/438)	1st Serve %	57% (257/448)
66% (185/282)	1st Serve Win %	65% (166/257)
46% (72/156)	2nd Serve Win %	44% (84/191)
41% (24/59)	Break Pts Won %	47% (20/43)
44% (198/448)	Return Pts Won %	41% (181/438)
80% (4/5)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	20% (1/5)
100% (2/2)	Deciding Set Win %	0% (0/2)
100% (2/2)	1st Set Won → Match Won	50% (2/4)
0% (0/2)	1st Set Won → Match Lost	50% (2/4)
50% (2/4)	1st Set Lost → Match Won	0% (0/2)

Recent Performance Stats

M. Keys Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R1 Renata ZarazuaR. Zarazua	L	6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5	Stats
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025
R4 Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina	L	6-7(3) 6-4 6-2	Stats
R3 Aoi ItoA. Ito	W	6-4 6-0	Stats
R2 Eva LysE. Lys	W	1-6 6-3 7-6(1)	Stats
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal - 28-07-2025
QF Clara TausonC. Tauson	L	6-1 6-4	Stats

View All

J. Ostapenko Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara - 08-09-2025
R2 Marina StakusicM. Stakusic	L	6-4 6-7(6) 6-2	Stats
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R2 Taylor TownsendT. Townsend	L	7-5 6-1	Stats
R1 Xiyu WangX. Wang	W	6-4 6-3	Stats
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025
R3 Lucia BronzettiL. Bronzetti	L	1-6 6-3 6-4	Stats
R2 Maria Camila Osorio SerranoM. Camila	W	w/o	Stats

View All

M. Keys vs J. Ostapenko Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

M. Keys	Stats	J. Ostapenko
64.47% (421/232)	YTD Win/Loss	61.41% (409/257)
62.39% (934/563)	Sets Win/Loss	57.92% (900/654)
54.70% (7680/6361)	Games Win/Loss	53.44% (7626/6645)
64.12% (252/141)	Hard Win/Loss	54.10% (145/123)
64.47% (98/54)	Clay Win/Loss	66.86% (117/58)
53.13% (17/15)	Indoor Hard W/L	65.03% (93/50)
71.05% (54/22)	Grass Win/Loss	67.50% (54/26)
0.42	Aces Per Game	0.24
2887	Aces Total	1646
0.2	Double Faults Per Game	0.43
1397	Total Double Faults	3023
1:19:25	Average Match Time	1:13:51
347.43	Average Opponent Rank	370.73
63% (25438/40308)	1st Serve %	56% (20903/37388)
69% (17455/25438)	1st Serve Win %	65% (13650/20903)
48% (7145/14853)	2nd Serve Win %	43% (7164/16471)
44% (2116/4827)	Break Points Won % (Total)	49% (2310/4703)
43% (18047/41504)	Return Points Win %	46% (17052/36961)
70.86% (124/51)	Slam W/L	61.39% (62/39)
56.31% (116/90)	Masters W/L	53.01% (88/78)
44.44% (4/5)	Cups W/L	58.06% (18/13)
66.32% (126/64)	Main Tour W/L	60.17% (139/92)
64.91% (37/20)	Challenger W/L	66.25% (53/27)
87.50% (14/2)	Futures W/L	85.96% (49/8)
65% (417/641)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	61% (399/651)
25% (1/4)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	40% (2/5)
58% (102/177)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	57% (76/134)
53% (104/196)	Deciding Set Win %	61% (139/227)
87% (425/369)	1st Set Won, Won Match	86% (387/333)
13% (425/55)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	14% (387/54)
22% (228/51)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	27% (279/74)